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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

61%

Modena

1.65

27%

Draw

3.67

12%

Empoli

8.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Modena xG

Total xG

2.75

0.81

Empoli xG

61%
27%
12%
ModenaDrawEmpoli

1.65

61%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

8.31

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

44%

Modena

2.26

14%

Empoli

6.92

Win to Nil

27%

Modena

3.72

2%

Empoli

57.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.4 10.1 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 7.7 6.3 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 3.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.935
λ Away (xG) 0.815
Total xG 2.750
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.101
Modena attack strength 1.067
Modena defence strength 0.885
Empoli attack strength 0.836
Empoli defence strength 1.364
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 8