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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

18:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

45%

Modena

2.25

28%

Draw

3.56

27%

Cesena

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Modena xG

Total xG

2.48

1.06

Cesena xG

45%
28%
27%
ModenaDrawCesena

2.25

45%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

35%

Modena

2.88

24%

Cesena

4.13

Win to Nil

15%

Modena

6.47

7%

Cesena

15.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 8.9 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 11.9 12.6 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.9 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.419
λ Away (xG) 1.058
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.149
Modena attack strength 0.923
Modena defence strength 0.998
Cesena attack strength 0.923
Cesena defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66