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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

43%

Modena

2.31

30%

Draw

3.28

26%

Catanzaro

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Modena xG

Total xG

2.41

1.03

Catanzaro xG

43%
30%
26%
ModenaDrawCatanzaro

2.31

43%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

36%

Modena

2.80

25%

Catanzaro

3.98

Win to Nil

15%

Modena

6.49

7%

Catanzaro

15.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.8 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 8.8 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.413
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.096
Modena attack strength 1.001
Modena defence strength 0.944
Catanzaro attack strength 0.997
Catanzaro defence strength 1.128
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68