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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

25%

Mantova

4.02

29%

Draw

3.43

46%

Sudtirol

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Mantova xG

Total xG

3.14

1.82

Sudtirol xG

25%
29%
46%
MantovaDrawSudtirol

4.02

25%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

16%

Mantova

6.15

27%

Sudtirol

3.75

Win to Nil

4%

Mantova

24.74

12%

Sudtirol

8.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.9 7.2 4.3 2.0 0.7
1 5.7 10.4 9.5 5.7 2.6 0.9
2 3.8 6.9 6.2 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.7 3.0 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.322
λ Away (xG) 1.816
Total xG 3.138
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.111
Mantova attack strength 0.991
Mantova defence strength 1.509
Sudtirol attack strength 1.083
Sudtirol defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45