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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

22%

Mantova

4.47

27%

Draw

3.64

50%

Sudtirol

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.72

1.67

Sudtirol xG

22%
27%
50%
MantovaDrawSudtirol

4.47

22%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

19%

Mantova

5.30

35%

Sudtirol

2.87

Win to Nil

4%

Mantova

23.70

18%

Sudtirol

5.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 11.0 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.7
1 6.9 11.6 9.6 5.4 2.2 0.7
2 3.6 6.1 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.4
3 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.053
λ Away (xG) 1.668
Total xG 2.721
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.096
Mantova attack strength 0.779
Mantova defence strength 1.245
Sudtirol attack strength 1.224
Sudtirol defence strength 1.103
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68