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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
21%
4.71
35%
2.87
44%
2.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.5%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.1%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.73
Mantova xG
Total xG
1.89
1.16
Spezia xG
MantovaDrawSpezia
4.71
21%
Home win
2.87
35%
Draw
2.28
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.66
62%
BTTS No
1.60
Clean Sheet
31%
3.19
48%
2.08
Win to Nil
7%
15.03
21%
4.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.1 | 17.5 | 10.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.732
λ Away (xG)
1.160
Total xG
1.892
League avg home goals
1.265
League avg away goals
1.173
Mantova attack strength
0.821
Mantova defence strength
1.055
Spezia attack strength
0.938
Spezia defence strength
0.705
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
32 / 70