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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

29%

Mantova

3.46

29%

Draw

3.41

42%

Sassuolo

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.76

1.52

Sassuolo xG

29%
29%
42%
MantovaDrawSassuolo

3.46

29%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

22%

Mantova

4.58

29%

Sassuolo

3.46

Win to Nil

6%

Mantova

15.85

12%

Sassuolo

8.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.6 7.3 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.8 11.9 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.9 7.4 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.0 3.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 1.522
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.101
Mantova attack strength 0.927
Mantova defence strength 1.159
Sassuolo attack strength 1.193
Sassuolo defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 24