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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

35%

Mantova

2.86

32%

Draw

3.17

34%

Sampdoria

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.66

1.31

Sampdoria xG

35%
32%
34%
MantovaDrawSampdoria

2.86

35%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

27%

Mantova

3.72

26%

Sampdoria

3.83

Win to Nil

9%

Mantova

10.63

9%

Sampdoria

11.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.4 12.4 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.3 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.8 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.344
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 2.657
League avg home goals 1.203
League avg away goals 1.097
Mantova attack strength 0.894
Mantova defence strength 1.095
Sampdoria attack strength 1.093
Sampdoria defence strength 1.250
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60