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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

39%

Mantova

2.54

32%

Draw

3.14

29%

Reggiana

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.34

1.06

Reggiana xG

39%
32%
29%
MantovaDrawReggiana

2.54

39%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

34%

Mantova

2.90

28%

Reggiana

3.60

Win to Nil

14%

Mantova

7.38

8%

Reggiana

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.2 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.345
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.055
Mantova attack strength 0.970
Mantova defence strength 1.013
Reggiana attack strength 0.996
Reggiana defence strength 1.064
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57