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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

29%

Mantova

3.49

27%

Draw

3.68

44%

Palermo

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.64

1.49

Palermo xG

29%
27%
44%
MantovaDrawPalermo

3.49

29%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

23%

Mantova

4.42

32%

Palermo

3.16

Win to Nil

6%

Mantova

15.43

14%

Palermo

7.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.6 7.9 3.9 1.5 0.4
1 8.2 12.2 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.7 7.1 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.152
λ Away (xG) 1.486
Total xG 2.638
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.035
Mantova attack strength 0.928
Mantova defence strength 1.248
Palermo attack strength 1.150
Palermo defence strength 0.949
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56