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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

28%

Mantova

3.62

32%

Draw

3.16

41%

Monza

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.48

1.38

Monza xG

28%
32%
41%
MantovaDrawMonza

3.62

28%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

25%

Mantova

3.96

33%

Monza

3.01

Win to Nil

7%

Mantova

14.36

14%

Monza

7.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.6 8.0 3.7 1.3 0.3
1 9.2 12.7 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.1 7.0 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 1.377
Total xG 2.478
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Mantova attack strength 0.944
Mantova defence strength 1.151
Monza attack strength 1.104
Monza defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36