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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

50%

Mantova

2.01

27%

Draw

3.77

24%

Empoli

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.93

1.17

Empoli xG

50%
27%
24%
MantovaDrawEmpoli

2.01

50%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

31%

Mantova

3.21

17%

Empoli

5.82

Win to Nil

15%

Mantova

6.45

4%

Empoli

24.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.2 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.4 11.0 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.7 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.762
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.929
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.071
Mantova attack strength 1.030
Mantova defence strength 1.256
Empoli attack strength 0.867
Empoli defence strength 1.265
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16