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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

43%

Mantova

2.34

28%

Draw

3.52

29%

Cesena

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.58

1.14

Cesena xG

43%
28%
29%
MantovaDrawCesena

2.34

43%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

32%

Mantova

3.14

24%

Cesena

4.22

Win to Nil

14%

Mantova

7.35

7%

Cesena

14.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.6 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 12.4 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.0 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.144
Total xG 2.584
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.126
Mantova attack strength 1.023
Mantova defence strength 1.186
Cesena attack strength 0.856
Cesena defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68