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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Mantova Win
52%
1.93
28%
3.51
20%
5.10
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Mantova xG
Total xG
2.40
0.86
Carrarese xG
MantovaDrawCarrarese
1.93
52%
Home win
3.51
28%
Draw
5.10
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.15
53%
BTTS No
1.87
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
22%
4.65
Win to Nil
22%
4.54
4%
23.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.537
λ Away (xG)
0.858
Total xG
2.395
League avg home goals
1.296
League avg away goals
1.122
Mantova attack strength
1.015
Mantova defence strength
1.061
Carrarese attack strength
0.721
Carrarese defence strength
1.169
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
36 / 36