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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

56%

Mantova

1.78

27%

Draw

3.70

17%

Avellino

5.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.62

0.88

Avellino xG

56%
27%
17%
MantovaDrawAvellino

1.78

56%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

5.91

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

42%

Mantova

2.40

18%

Avellino

5.69

Win to Nil

23%

Mantova

4.29

3%

Avellino

33.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.7 11.1 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.4 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.8 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 0.876
Total xG 2.615
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.093
Mantova attack strength 1.036
Mantova defence strength 1.060
Avellino attack strength 0.755
Avellino defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 34