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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Romeo Menti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juve Stabia Win

38%

Juve Stabia

2.66

31%

Draw

3.25

32%

Monza

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Juve Stabia xG

Total xG

2.39

1.13

Monza xG

38%
31%
32%
Juve StabiaDrawMonza

2.66

38%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

32%

Juve Stabia

3.10

28%

Monza

3.51

Win to Nil

12%

Juve Stabia

8.25

9%

Monza

11.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.4 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.2 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.256
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.388
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.926
Juve Stabia defence strength 0.931
Monza attack strength 1.130
Monza defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38