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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Juve Stabia cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Empoli.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Juve Stabia beat Empoli 2-0 at Stadio Romeo Menti, Regular Season - 16, in the Serie B. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Juve Stabia 1.42 xG and Empoli 0.78 xG, a combined 2.20. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Juve Stabia attack 0.87 / defence 0.77 against Empoli attack 0.95 / defence 1.23, drawn from 53/15 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Juve Stabia 51% | Draw 30% | Empoli 19%, with Juve Stabia to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Juve Stabia 51%, Empoli 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Juve Stabia's trading profile (53 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Empoli's trading profile (53 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Juve Stabia arrived the stronger side — 1.38 PPG against 0.96. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Empoli (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights