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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

39%

Frosinone

2.56

35%

Draw

2.89

26%

Sudtirol

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.46

1.10

Sudtirol xG

39%
35%
26%
FrosinoneDrawSudtirol

2.56

39%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

33%

Frosinone

3.00

26%

Sudtirol

3.92

Win to Nil

13%

Frosinone

7.67

7%

Sudtirol

14.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.8 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.7 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.098
Total xG 2.463
League avg home goals 1.182
League avg away goals 1.035
Frosinone attack strength 1.111
Frosinone defence strength 0.973
Sudtirol attack strength 1.089
Sudtirol defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41