🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
21%
4.69
30%
3.30
48%
2.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 2
10.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Frosinone xG
Total xG
2.38
1.47
Spezia xG
FrosinoneDrawSpezia
4.69
21%
Home win
3.30
30%
Draw
2.07
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
23%
4.35
40%
2.48
Win to Nil
5%
20.40
20%
5.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 13.6 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.908
λ Away (xG)
1.471
Total xG
2.379
League avg home goals
1.275
League avg away goals
1.179
Frosinone attack strength
0.883
Frosinone defence strength
1.252
Spezia attack strength
0.996
Spezia defence strength
0.807
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
33 / 71