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Frosinone vs Sassuolo – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

19%

Frosinone

5.26

29%

Draw

3.43

52%

Sassuolo

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

0 – 2

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.50

1.60

Sassuolo xG

19%
29%
52%
FrosinoneDrawSassuolo

5.26

19%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

20%

Frosinone

4.95

41%

Sassuolo

2.45

Win to Nil

4%

Frosinone

26.05

21%

Sassuolo

4.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 13.2 10.5 5.6 2.2 0.7
1 7.4 11.8 9.5 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 3.3 5.3 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.897
λ Away (xG) 1.600
Total xG 2.497
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.102
Frosinone attack strength 0.800
Frosinone defence strength 1.181
Sassuolo attack strength 1.229
Sassuolo defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 16