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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

40%

Frosinone

2.51

32%

Draw

3.10

28%

Salernitana

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.24

1.00

Salernitana xG

40%
32%
28%
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana

2.51

40%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Frosinone

2.72

29%

Salernitana

3.46

Win to Nil

15%

Frosinone

6.83

8%

Salernitana

12.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.6 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.2 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.241
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.054
Frosinone attack strength 0.819
Frosinone defence strength 1.250
Salernitana attack strength 0.760
Salernitana defence strength 1.220
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18