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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

29%

Frosinone

3.47

29%

Draw

3.50

43%

Mantova

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.83

1.57

Mantova xG

29%
29%
43%
FrosinoneDrawMantova

3.47

29%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

21%

Frosinone

4.80

28%

Mantova

3.53

Win to Nil

6%

Frosinone

16.68

12%

Mantova

8.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.3 7.3 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.4 11.7 9.2 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.4 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 1.569
Total xG 2.829
League avg home goals 1.209
League avg away goals 1.101
Frosinone attack strength 0.759
Frosinone defence strength 1.304
Mantova attack strength 1.093
Mantova defence strength 1.373
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 27