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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

18:30

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

56%

Empoli

1.78

29%

Draw

3.48

15%

Virtus Entella

6.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.31

0.73

Virtus Entella xG

56%
29%
15%
EmpoliDrawVirtus Entella

1.78

56%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

6.58

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

48%

Empoli

2.07

21%

Virtus Entella

4.87

Win to Nil

27%

Empoli

3.69

3%

Virtus Entella

32.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 15.7 11.4 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 6.6 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.583
λ Away (xG) 0.727
Total xG 2.310
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.105
Empoli attack strength 0.976
Empoli defence strength 1.185
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.555
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.170
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34