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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

43%

Empoli

2.31

30%

Draw

3.30

26%

Sudtirol

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.32

0.99

Sudtirol xG

43%
30%
26%
EmpoliDrawSudtirol

2.31

43%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Empoli

2.69

26%

Sudtirol

3.78

Win to Nil

16%

Empoli

6.21

7%

Sudtirol

14.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 12.9 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.6 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.319
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.021
Empoli attack strength 1.090
Empoli defence strength 1.117
Sudtirol attack strength 0.867
Sudtirol defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57