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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Tue 28 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

47%

Empoli

2.14

31%

Draw

3.19

22%

Sampdoria

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.76

1.11

Sampdoria xG

47%
31%
22%
EmpoliDrawSampdoria

2.14

47%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

33%

Empoli

3.03

19%

Sampdoria

5.24

Win to Nil

15%

Empoli

6.48

4%

Sampdoria

23.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.0 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 11.6 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.6 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.656
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.130
Empoli attack strength 1.009
Empoli defence strength 1.132
Sampdoria attack strength 0.866
Sampdoria defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 47