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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

44%

Empoli

2.26

30%

Draw

3.39

26%

Reggiana

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.24

0.94

Reggiana xG

44%
30%
26%
EmpoliDrawReggiana

2.26

44%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

39%

Empoli

2.56

27%

Reggiana

3.67

Win to Nil

17%

Empoli

5.79

7%

Reggiana

13.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.0 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 13.8 13.0 6.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.300
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.240
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.063
Empoli attack strength 0.906
Empoli defence strength 1.064
Reggiana attack strength 0.832
Reggiana defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 62