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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

45%

Empoli

2.20

30%

Draw

3.32

24%

Palermo

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.34

0.96

Palermo xG

45%
30%
24%
EmpoliDrawPalermo

2.20

45%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

4.08

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

38%

Empoli

2.60

25%

Palermo

4.00

Win to Nil

17%

Empoli

5.74

6%

Palermo

16.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.7 6.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.387
λ Away (xG) 0.957
Total xG 2.344
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.048
Empoli attack strength 1.166
Empoli defence strength 0.967
Palermo attack strength 0.945
Palermo defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52