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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Empoli Win
41%
2.42
31%
3.26
28%
3.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Empoli xG
Total xG
2.14
0.94
Mantova xG
EmpoliDrawMantova
2.42
41%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
3.57
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.30
57%
BTTS No
1.77
Clean Sheet
39%
2.57
30%
3.33
Win to Nil
16%
6.22
8%
11.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.1 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.202
λ Away (xG)
0.942
Total xG
2.144
League avg home goals
1.317
League avg away goals
1.121
Empoli attack strength
0.848
Empoli defence strength
1.056
Mantova attack strength
0.795
Mantova defence strength
1.076
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
29 / 67