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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

29%

Empoli

3.40

28%

Draw

3.58

43%

Frosinone

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.76

1.52

Frosinone xG

29%
28%
43%
EmpoliDrawFrosinone

3.40

29%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

22%

Empoli

4.60

29%

Frosinone

3.43

Win to Nil

6%

Empoli

15.65

12%

Frosinone

8.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.7 7.4 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 7.8 11.9 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.8 7.3 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.232
λ Away (xG) 1.525
Total xG 2.757
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.075
Empoli attack strength 1.122
Empoli defence strength 1.122
Frosinone attack strength 1.264
Frosinone defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55