Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

43%

Empoli

2.33

28%

Draw

3.59

29%

Cesena

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.48

1.10

Cesena xG

43%
28%
29%
EmpoliDrawCesena

2.33

43%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

33%

Empoli

2.99

25%

Cesena

3.98

Win to Nil

14%

Empoli

6.98

7%

Cesena

13.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.111
Empoli attack strength 0.883
Empoli defence strength 1.049
Cesena attack strength 0.941
Cesena defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 64