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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

43%

Empoli

2.35

31%

Draw

3.23

26%

Avellino

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.55

1.10

Avellino xG

43%
31%
26%
EmpoliDrawAvellino

2.35

43%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

33%

Empoli

3.02

24%

Avellino

4.25

Win to Nil

14%

Empoli

7.10

6%

Avellino

16.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.5 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.0 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.105
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Empoli attack strength 0.946
Empoli defence strength 1.206
Avellino attack strength 0.846
Avellino defence strength 1.110
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36