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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

13:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

55%

Empoli

1.81

26%

Draw

3.84

19%

Arezzo

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.65

0.92

Arezzo xG

55%
26%
19%
EmpoliDrawArezzo

1.81

55%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

40%

Empoli

2.51

18%

Arezzo

5.63

Win to Nil

22%

Empoli

4.54

3%

Arezzo

30.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.2 11.3 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.728
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.647
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Empoli attack strength 0.973
Empoli defence strength 1.010
Arezzo attack strength 0.850
Arezzo defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0