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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

38%

Cremonese

2.63

24%

Draw

4.22

38%

Sassuolo

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Cremonese xG

Total xG

3.63

1.81

Sassuolo xG

38%
24%
38%
CremoneseDrawSassuolo

2.63

38%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.44

Clean Sheet

16%

Cremonese

6.14

16%

Sassuolo

6.12

Win to Nil

6%

Cremonese

16.12

6%

Sassuolo

16.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 4.8 4.4 2.7 1.2 0.4
1 4.8 8.7 7.9 4.8 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.9 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 2.6 4.8 4.3 2.6 1.2 0.4
4 1.2 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.812
λ Away (xG) 1.815
Total xG 3.627
League avg home goals 1.301
League avg away goals 1.127
Cremonese attack strength 1.275
Cremonese defence strength 1.180
Sassuolo attack strength 1.365
Sassuolo defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 35