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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

17%

Cittadella

5.89

26%

Draw

3.85

57%

Sassuolo

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

10.9%

Away win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Cittadella xG

Total xG

2.69

1.79

Sassuolo xG

17%
26%
57%
CittadellaDrawSassuolo

5.89

17%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

17%

Cittadella

6.02

41%

Sassuolo

2.45

Win to Nil

3%

Cittadella

35.43

23%

Sassuolo

4.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 12.1 10.9 6.5 2.9 1.1
1 6.1 10.9 9.8 5.9 2.6 0.9
2 2.7 4.9 4.4 2.6 1.2 0.4
3 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.898
λ Away (xG) 1.795
Total xG 2.693
League avg home goals 1.213
League avg away goals 1.101
Cittadella attack strength 0.774
Cittadella defence strength 1.408
Sassuolo attack strength 1.157
Sassuolo defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29