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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

49%

Cesena

2.05

32%

Draw

3.12

19%

Salernitana

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.12

0.77

Salernitana xG

49%
32%
19%
CesenaDrawSalernitana

2.05

49%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

46%

Cesena

2.16

26%

Salernitana

3.87

Win to Nil

23%

Cesena

4.43

5%

Salernitana

20.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 9.2 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 16.2 12.5 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 11.0 8.4 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.353
λ Away (xG) 0.768
Total xG 2.121
League avg home goals 1.209
League avg away goals 1.101
Cesena attack strength 0.946
Cesena defence strength 1.071
Salernitana attack strength 0.651
Salernitana defence strength 1.183
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 27