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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

42%

Cesena

2.39

35%

Draw

2.88

23%

Reggiana

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 0

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.39

1.00

Reggiana xG

42%
35%
23%
CesenaDrawReggiana

2.39

42%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

37%

Cesena

2.72

25%

Reggiana

4.00

Win to Nil

15%

Cesena

6.50

6%

Reggiana

17.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.2 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.8 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.8 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.386
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.388
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.106
Cesena attack strength 0.924
Cesena defence strength 0.972
Reggiana attack strength 0.932
Reggiana defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44