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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

26%

Cesena

3.91

36%

Draw

2.81

39%

Palermo

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.33

1.30

Palermo xG

26%
36%
39%
CesenaDrawPalermo

3.91

26%

Home win

2.81

36%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

27%

Cesena

3.67

36%

Palermo

2.80

Win to Nil

7%

Cesena

14.36

14%

Palermo

7.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 12.6 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.2 6.7 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.030
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.330
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.140
Cesena attack strength 0.942
Cesena defence strength 0.993
Palermo attack strength 1.148
Palermo defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42