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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

53%

Cesena

1.87

30%

Draw

3.30

16%

Mantova

6.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.02

0.65

Mantova xG

53%
30%
16%
CesenaDrawMantova

1.87

53%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

6.12

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

52%

Cesena

1.91

25%

Mantova

3.96

Win to Nil

28%

Cesena

3.57

4%

Mantova

24.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
1 18.2 11.8 3.8 0.8 0.1
2 12.5 8.1 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 3.7 1.2 0.3
4 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 0.646
Total xG 2.021
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.039
Cesena attack strength 1.047
Cesena defence strength 0.872
Mantova attack strength 0.713
Mantova defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53