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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cesena Win
55%
1.81
27%
3.74
18%
5.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.0%
Home win
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.51
Cesena xG
Total xG
2.25
0.74
Bari xG
CesenaDrawBari
1.81
55%
Home win
3.74
27%
Draw
5.59
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
48%
2.09
22%
4.52
Win to Nil
26%
3.78
4%
25.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 11.8 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.0 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.509
λ Away (xG)
0.737
Total xG
2.246
League avg home goals
1.297
League avg away goals
1.041
Cesena attack strength
0.989
Cesena defence strength
1.020
Bari attack strength
0.694
Bari defence strength
1.176
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
58 / 58