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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

49%

Catanzaro

2.04

31%

Draw

3.21

20%

Bari

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Catanzaro xG

Total xG

2.16

0.79

Bari xG

49%
31%
20%
CatanzaroDrawBari

2.04

49%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

45%

Catanzaro

2.20

25%

Bari

3.95

Win to Nil

22%

Catanzaro

4.48

5%

Bari

19.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 9.1 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 15.8 12.5 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 10.9 8.6 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.373
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.161
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.144
Catanzaro attack strength 1.200
Catanzaro defence strength 0.833
Bari attack strength 0.826
Bari defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69