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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Carrarese Win
55%
1.82
30%
3.38
16%
6.41
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.79
Carrarese xG
Total xG
2.71
0.91
Padova xG
CarrareseDrawPadova
1.82
55%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
6.41
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.88
47%
BTTS No
2.14
Clean Sheet
40%
2.49
17%
6.01
Win to Nil
22%
4.54
3%
38.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.0 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.793
λ Away (xG)
0.913
Total xG
2.706
League avg home goals
1.226
League avg away goals
1.067
Carrarese attack strength
1.071
Carrarese defence strength
1.013
Padova attack strength
0.844
Padova defence strength
1.365
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
39 / 1