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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Carrarese

2.88

38%

Draw

2.65

28%

Cosenza

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Carrarese xG

Total xG

1.90

0.88

Cosenza xG

35%
38%
28%
CarrareseDrawCosenza

2.88

35%

Home win

2.65

38%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

41%

Carrarese

2.41

36%

Cosenza

2.76

Win to Nil

14%

Carrarese

6.94

10%

Cosenza

10.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 13.2 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.7 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 1.895
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.083
Carrarese attack strength 0.793
Carrarese defence strength 0.717
Cosenza attack strength 1.133
Cosenza defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55