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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

32%

Carrarese

3.11

29%

Draw

3.42

39%

Modena

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.52

1.33

Modena xG

32%
29%
39%
CarrareseDrawModena

3.11

32%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

26%

Carrarese

3.78

30%

Modena

3.29

Win to Nil

9%

Carrarese

11.75

12%

Modena

8.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.7 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.6 12.7 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.7 7.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.192
λ Away (xG) 1.329
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Carrarese attack strength 0.944
Carrarese defence strength 1.113
Modena attack strength 1.033
Modena defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73