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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Carrarese Win
50%
2.02
29%
3.42
21%
4.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
2 – 0
10.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
Carrarese xG
Total xG
2.33
0.87
Cesena xG
CarrareseDrawCesena
2.02
50%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
4.71
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
42%
2.39
23%
4.29
Win to Nil
21%
4.83
5%
20.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.2 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.457
λ Away (xG)
0.872
Total xG
2.329
League avg home goals
1.543
League avg away goals
1.071
Carrarese attack strength
0.957
Carrarese defence strength
0.950
Cesena attack strength
0.857
Cesena defence strength
0.986
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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