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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

56%

Carrarese

1.78

29%

Draw

3.46

15%

Cesena

6.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.38

0.75

Cesena xG

56%
29%
15%
CarrareseDrawCesena

1.78

56%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

6.66

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

47%

Carrarese

2.12

20%

Cesena

5.07

Win to Nil

26%

Carrarese

3.78

3%

Cesena

33.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 15.1 11.4 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.2 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.6 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.623
λ Away (xG) 0.752
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Carrarese attack strength 1.026
Carrarese defence strength 0.965
Cesena attack strength 0.719
Cesena defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74