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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

47%

Carrarese

2.12

36%

Draw

2.79

17%

Cesena

5.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

18.4%

Draw

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Carrarese xG

Total xG

1.70

0.57

Cesena xG

47%
36%
17%
CarrareseDrawCesena

2.12

47%

Home win

2.79

36%

Draw

5.87

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.20

69%

BTTS No

1.46

Clean Sheet

56%

Carrarese

1.78

33%

Cesena

3.06

Win to Nil

26%

Carrarese

3.77

6%

Cesena

18.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.4 10.6 3.0 0.6 0.1
1 20.6 11.8 3.4 0.7 0.1
2 11.5 6.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 1.2 0.7 0.2
5 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.120
λ Away (xG) 0.575
Total xG 1.695
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.055
Carrarese attack strength 0.789
Carrarese defence strength 0.668
Cesena attack strength 0.815
Cesena defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 19