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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 4 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

39%

Carrarese

2.57

32%

Draw

3.17

30%

Catanzaro

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.16

0.99

Catanzaro xG

39%
32%
30%
CarrareseDrawCatanzaro

2.57

39%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

37%

Carrarese

2.68

31%

Catanzaro

3.23

Win to Nil

15%

Carrarese

6.89

9%

Catanzaro

10.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 11.4 5.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 13.5 13.4 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.9 7.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.172
λ Away (xG) 0.986
Total xG 2.158
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.132
Carrarese attack strength 0.912
Carrarese defence strength 0.757
Catanzaro attack strength 1.151
Catanzaro defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65