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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

43%

Brescia

2.33

25%

Draw

3.94

32%

Sampdoria

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

7.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Brescia xG

Total xG

3.63

1.68

Sampdoria xG

43%
25%
32%
BresciaDrawSampdoria

2.33

43%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.40

28%

BTTS No

3.53

Clean Sheet

19%

Brescia

5.35

14%

Sampdoria

7.06

Win to Nil

8%

Brescia

12.49

4%

Sampdoria

22.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.4 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.3
1 5.2 8.7 7.3 4.1 1.7 0.6
2 5.1 8.5 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.3 5.5 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.4
4 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.955
λ Away (xG) 1.678
Total xG 3.633
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.033
Brescia attack strength 1.207
Brescia defence strength 1.368
Sampdoria attack strength 1.187
Sampdoria defence strength 1.349
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58