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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

36%

Brescia

2.78

32%

Draw

3.09

32%

Modena

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Brescia xG

Total xG

2.26

1.09

Modena xG

36%
32%
32%
BresciaDrawModena

2.78

36%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

34%

Brescia

2.97

31%

Modena

3.24

Win to Nil

12%

Brescia

8.23

10%

Modena

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.3 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.3 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.2 7.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.175
λ Away (xG) 1.087
Total xG 2.262
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.054
Brescia attack strength 1.070
Brescia defence strength 1.212
Modena attack strength 0.851
Modena defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56