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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brescia Win

62%

Brescia

1.61

23%

Draw

4.37

15%

Carrarese

6.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Brescia xG

Total xG

3.17

1.01

Carrarese xG

62%
23%
15%
BresciaDrawCarrarese

1.61

62%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

6.64

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

36%

Brescia

2.74

12%

Carrarese

8.66

Win to Nil

23%

Brescia

4.41

2%

Carrarese

57.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.1 9.2 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.1 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.8 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.159
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 3.167
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.096
Brescia attack strength 1.236
Brescia defence strength 1.283
Carrarese attack strength 0.717
Carrarese defence strength 1.385
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16